Cyber War versus Cyber Realities: Cyber Conflict in the International System. 
Oxford University Press, 2015





Cyber operations, cyber crime, and other forms of cyber activities directed by one state against another are now considered part of the normal relations range of combat and conflict, and the rising fear of cyber conflict has brought about a reorientation of military affairs. What is the reality of this threat? Is it actual or inflated, fear or fact-based?

Valeriano and Maness argue that there is very little evidence that cyber war is, or is likely to become, a serious threat. Their claim is empirically grounded, involving a careful analysis of cyber incidents and disputes experienced by international states since 2001, and an examination of the processes leading to cyber conflict.

As the authors convincingly show, cyber incidents are a little-used tactic, with low-level intensity and few to no long-term effects. As well, cyber incidents are motivated by the same dynamics that prompt regional conflicts. Based on this evidence, Valeriano and Maness lay out a set of policy recommendations for proper defense against cyber threats that is built on restraint and regionalism.


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​Reviews
Small Wars and Insurgencies
Journal of Information Technology and Politics
HNet Diplo Solo
HNet Diplo Roundtable
International Affairs
IEEE, Cipher Book review
"This is an important book which deals with very difficult questions. The authors bring a fresh approach in their diligent focus on the available evidence and how that evidence can be fitted to what we know about how the international system works. While this brief review cannot begin to do justice to the book's content (my copy is festooned with sticky notes and looks like someone spilled a bottle of yellow ink on the interior)"
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Cyber Strategy: The Evolving Character of Power and Coercion. 
Oxford University Press, 2018
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Dyadic Cyber Incident Dataset
Version 1.0 (2001-2011 Rivals) Data  Codebook (associated with 2015 OUP Book)
Version 1.1 (2000-2014 Rivals) Data Codebook (associated with 2018 OUP Book)
Version 2.0 (2000-2016 All states and non-state actors) In Progress